SUCCESS RATES OF CLUTCHES AND BROODS

AT WILD BALD EAGLE NESTS,
2006-2020

© elfruler 2020

Table 2 drills down more deeply into the clutches of eggs and broods of eaglets at the nests observed, showing the number of clutches of each nest size (1 egg, 2 eggs, etc.) each year, the number of clutches with hatched eggs in each nest size, and the number of broods with fledged eaglets in each nest size. The first page of the table gives numbers for clutches of eggs, which includes second clutches. The second page gives numbers for broods of eaglets and fledges.

The figures in the table refer to the number of clutches or broods of a particular size (1-hatch or 1-fledge clutches, 2-egg or 2-fledge clutches, etc.), not to numbers of individual eggs, chicks, or fledges, which are tallied in Table 1. Percentages illustrate the degree of success of a clutch or brood.

I use the term “successful” in reference to a clutch in which at least one egg hatched and to a brood in which at least one egg hatched and at least one eaglet fledged. An unsuccessful clutch is one in which no eggs hatched, and an unsuccessful brood is one in which no eaglets fledged.

I use the term “perfect” in reference to a clutch in which all eggs hatched and to a brood in which all eggs hatched and all eaglets fledged. Perfect clutches and broods are highlighted in orange.

TABLE 2

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Clutches of eggs with hatches (p. 1 of the Table)

Of 401 clutches of eggs, 87.5% were successful and 66.3% were perfect.

    • 1-egg clutches averaged a 44.4% success rate, which of course is the same percentage for perfect clutches, since only 1 egg is involved.
    • 2-egg clutches averaged a much higher success rate of 87.7%, with 70.1% perfect with 2 eggs hatched.
    • 3-egg clutches averaged an eye-popping 96% success rate, with 63.5% perfect with 3 eggs hatched.
    • 4-egg clutches hit the jackpot with a 100% success rate, 2 out of 3 of which (66.7%) were perfect with all 4 eggs hatched.

The low success rate of 1-egg clutches can be attributed at least partially to the fact that if the only egg is lost, the clutch is lost. The same could apply to the higher rate of success of both 2-egg and 3-egg clutches, with more eggs to “spare.” But the high rate of perfect 2-egg and 3-egg clutches defies this logic and perhaps points to subtle behavioral or biological factors such as parental attentiveness or the reproductive superiority of adults who succeed in laying more eggs than one.

Broods of eaglets with fledges (p. 2 of the Table)

Of the 401 clutches of eggs in Table 2, 76.8% ended up with successful broods of fledged eaglets, and 46.9% resulted in perfect broods.

    • 1-egg clutches averaged 33.3% successful and 33.3% perfect rates of fledged eaglets.
    • 2-egg clutches averaged 77% successful, with 50.8% perfect with 2 eaglets fledged.
    • 3-egg clutches averaged 85.7% successful, with 42.9% perfect with 3 eaglets fledged.
    • 4-egg clutches were 100% successful in producing fledglings, but only 1 out of 3 clutches, or 33.3%, resulted in a perfect 4 fledged eaglets.

Comparing the success rates of broods of eaglets with success rates of clutches of eggs illustrates well the challenges that hatched nestlings and their parents face in achieving the full development and growth from hatch to fledge. In all except 4-egg clutches, the percentage of successful broods dropped by a little over 10 points from the percentage of successful clutches.

    • 1-egg nests had 44.4% successful clutches but only 33.3% successful broods.
    • 2-egg nests had 87.7% successful clutches but only 77.0% successful broods.
    • 3-egg nests had 96% successful clutches but only 85.7 successful broods.
    • 4-egg nests had a 100% successful rate for both clutches and broods.

As noted in the discussion of Table 1, some fledges could not be confirmed. In Table 2 where the numbers refer to clutches and broods rather than to individual eggs or eaglets, a nest where at least 1 eaglet’s fledge is not confirmed is counted in the unconfirmed row, even if at least 1 eaglet did fledge.

Table 2, like Table 1, shows that numbers can fluctuate up and down from one year to the next, and there is no clear trend in either direction.  For example:

    • Successful clutches hit a peak of 100% in 2007, and a low of 75%in 2015. 2019 was above average with 89.7% successful, but 2020 was below average with 76.7%.
    • Perfect clutches ranged from a low of 50% in 2006 to an astounding 91.3% in 2012. 2019 was slightly above average at 66.7%, while 2020 was well below average at 53.5%
    • Successful broods were at a low 50% in 2006, with a high of 87% in 2011. 2019 was well above average with 84.6% successful, while 2020 fell slightly below average with 72.1%
    • Perfect broods were low in 2006 with 33.3%, but very healthy in 2010 at 63.2%. 2019 had an above average rate of 48.7% perfect broods, and 2020 was at the lower end of the range with 39.5%.
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